基于宏观数据与微观调研，本报告识别出以下五个具备“高确定性、低初期投入、技术赋能”特征的方向：
Whatever the case, a wounded ISS will have been fairly rotten luck. Back in 2017, scientists from NASA and a Russian space contractor put the odds of this worst-case scenario at 1 in 121. As of late 2025, NASA told WIRED the risk of debris causing a depressurization event in any six-month period was somewhere between 1 in 36 and 1 in 170.
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Houses on the street have sandbags outside permanently because of the continued risk of flooding
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